对欧亚非大陆自由主义民主格局演变的批判性分析     

麻洪川  郗笃刚  刘建忠  张晶  丁梓越 《世界地理研究》2020,29(6):1113-1124

自由主义民主作为西方谋求世界霸权而肆意输出的意识形态，以批判性话语剖析欧亚非大陆自由主义民主状况，对揭露西方民主输出的真实目的意义重大。探究欧亚非大陆“自由”等级格局演变特征，搭建“自由”等级格局演变影响因子体系，并揭示其演变影响机制。研究发现：①“自由”国家数量总体显著增长，从欧洲南部、西部、北部，亚洲南部、东北部扩散至欧洲东部、中部和非洲南部地区；“部分自由”国家数量总体明显增加，基本分布在亚洲南部、东南部，非洲东部、西部和南部；“不自由”国家数量总体略有减少，从欧洲东部、亚洲和非洲大部分地区压缩至亚非大部分地区。②“自由”等级标准差指数表现出明显上升趋势，而其变异系数表现出波动下降趋势。③总体上，欧亚非大陆具有相似“自由”等级的国家集聚程度在不断增强，其中，高值集聚出现波动增强；局部上，冷点、次冷点区域呈现“联成一片”的态势，热点、次热点区域则有“东进”的趋势。④社会经济、外部扩散、文化宗教、政治制度、西方行为等因素影响显著，且在整体和局部影响机制上呈现明显差异。⑤“自由之家”为突出和强调西方在国际政治领域的标准制定权和话语权，其“自由”等级指数具有极强的意识形态属性和战略意图。  相似文献   

丝绸之路遗产诠释与重游意愿影响关系研究     

王镜  蔡佳佳  原燕妮 《世界地理研究》2020,29(6):1260-1271

为探究世界遗产丝绸之路沿线遗址点遗产诠释与重游意愿的影响关系，研究将遗产诠释分为现场遗产解说与非现场遗产传播两部分，并以旅游体验为中介变量，游客特征为调节变量，构建“遗产诠释-旅游体验-重游意愿”的结构关系模型。研究表明：（1）非现场遗产传播正向影响现场遗产解说；（2）遗产诠释需要通过深刻的旅游体验才能更好地影响重游意愿；（3）遗产诠释与重游意愿的影响关系部分受游客性别和文化程度的调节，其中非现场遗产传播更能在高文化程度的游客中发挥其对重游意愿的影响作用，同时更能在男性游客中发挥其对旅游体验的影响作用。  相似文献   

利用盐湖常见元素的助烧结作用绿色制备氧化镁及磷酸镁水泥          下载免费PDF全文

李颖  董金美  肖学英  郑卫新  文静  常成功 《盐湖研究》2020,28(2):15-25

低活性氧化镁是制备磷酸镁水泥(MPC)的关键原材料。现行低活性氧化镁的生产方式导致了制备MPC具有能耗高和成本高的缺点,不利于其推广应用。利用盐湖中常见元素如B,Na、K和Cl的助烧结作用,在≤1 200℃煅烧盐湖提锂镁渣、外掺B的轻烧镁粉和水氯镁石的热解产物制备低活性氧化镁。介绍了低活性氧化镁的粒径、比表面积、孔隙率、化学组成、矿物组成和形貌等物理特征,以及低活性氧化镁制备MPC的凝结时间、水化产物、微观结构、抗压强度、体积稳定性等凝结硬化性能,并分析了烧结温度对低活性氧化镁的理化性能及MPC的凝结硬化性能的影响。相比现有技术,利用盐湖共存元素的助烧结作用可将氧化镁的烧结温度由1 500～1 800℃降低到1 200℃以下,有利于实现低活性氧化镁及MPC的低能耗、低成本绿色制备,促进MPC的推广应用。  相似文献   

全球粮食安全格局的时空演化     

蔡建明  马恩朴  林静  廖柳文  韩燕 《地理学报(英文版)》2020,30(2):179-196

Food security is the primary prerequisite for achieving other Millennium Development Goals(MDGs).Given that the MDG of“halving the proportion of hungers by 2015”was not realized as scheduled,it will be more pressing and challenging to reach the goal of zero hunger by 2030.So there is high urgency to find the pattern and mechanism of global food security from the perspective of spatio-temporal evolution.In this paper,based on the analysis of database by using a multi-index evaluation method and radar map area model,the global food security level for 172 countries from 2000 to 2014 were assessed;and then spatial autocorrelation analysis was conducted to depict the spatial patterns and changing characteristics of global food security;then,multi-nonlinear regression methods were employed to identify the factors affecting the food security patterns.The results show:1)The global food security pattern can be summarized as“high-high aggregation,low-low aggregation”.The most secure countries are mainly distributed in Western Europe,North America,Oceania and parts of East Asia.The least secure countries are mainly distributed in sub-Saharan Africa,South Asia and West Asia,and parts of Southeast Asia.2)Europe and sub-Saharan Africa are hot and cold spots of the global food security pattern respectively,while in non-aggregation areas,Haiti,North Korea,Tajikistan and Afghanistan have long-historical food insecurity problems.3)The pattern of global food security is generally stable,but the internal fluctuations in the extremely insecure groups were significant.The countries with the highest food insecurity are also the countries with the most fluctuated levels of food security.4)The annual average temperature,per capita GDP,proportion of people accessible to clean water,political stability and non-violence levels are the main factors influencing the global food security pattern.Research shows that the status of global food security has improved since the year 2000,yet there are still many challenges such as unstable global food security and acute regional food security issues.It will be difficult to understand these differences from a single factor,especially the annual average temperature and annual precipitation.The abnormal performance of the above factors indicates that appropriate natural conditions alone do not absolutely guarantee food security,while the levels of agricultural development,the purchasing power of residents,regional accessibility,as well as political and economic stability have more direct influence.  相似文献   

Volunteered geographic information research in the first decade: a narrative review of selected journal articles in GIScience     

Yingwei Yan  Chen-Chieh Feng  Wei Huang  Hongchao Fan  Yi-Chen Wang  Alexander Zipf 《International journal of geographical information science》2020,34(9):1765-1791

ABSTRACT

More than 10 years have passed since the coining of the term volunteered geographic information (VGI) in 2007. This article presents the results of a review of the literature concerning VGI. A total of 346 articles published in 24 international refereed journals in GIScience between 2007 and 2017 have been reviewed. The review has uncovered varying levels of popularity of VGI research over space and time, and varying interests in various sources of VGI (e.g. OpenStreetMap) and VGI-related terms (e.g. user-generated content) that point to the multi-perspective nature of VGI. Content-wise, using latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA), this study has extracted 50 specific research topics pertinent to VGI. The 50 topics have been subsequently clustered into 13 intermediate topics and three overarching themes to allow a hierarchical topic review. The overarching VGI research themes include (1) VGI contributions and contributors, (2) main fields applying VGI, and (3) conceptions and envisions. The review of the articles under the three themes has revealed the progress and the points that demand attention regarding the individual topics. This article also discusses the areas that the existing research has not yet adequately explored and proposes an agenda for potential future research endeavors.  相似文献   

Exploring Spatially Non-stationary Relationships in the Determinants of Mineralization in 3D Geological Space     

Huang  Jixian  Mao  Xiancheng  Chen  Jin  Deng  Hao  Dick  Jeffrey M.  Liu  Zhankun 《Natural Resources Research》2020,29(1):439-458

Exploring the spatial relationships between various geological features and mineralization is not only conducive to understanding the genesis of ore deposits but can also help to guide mineral exploration by providing predictive mineral maps. However, most current methods assume spatially constant determinants of mineralization and therefore have limited applicability to detecting possible spatially non-stationary relationships between the geological features and the mineralization. In this paper, the spatial variation between the distribution of mineralization and its determining factors is described for a case study in the Dingjiashan Pb–Zn deposit, China. A local regression modeling technique, geological weighted regression (GWR), was leveraged to study the spatial non-stationarity in the 3D geological space. First, ordinary least-squares (OLS) regression was applied, the redundancy and significance of the controlling factors were tested, and the spatial dependency in Zn and Pb ore grade measurements was confirmed. Second, GWR models with different kernel functions in 3D space were applied, and their results were compared to the OLS model. The results show a superior performance of GWR compared with OLS and a significant spatial non-stationarity in the determinants of ore grade. Third, a non-stationarity test was performed. The stationarity index and the Monte Carlo stationarity test demonstrate the non-stationarity of all the variables throughout the area. Finally, the influences of the degree of non-stationary of all controlling factors on mineralization are discussed. The existence of significant non-stationarity of mineral ore determinants in 3D space opens up an exciting avenue for research into the prediction of underground ore bodies.

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Simulation and projection of climate change using CMIP6 Muti-models in the Belt and Road Region     

YanRan Lü  Tong Jiang  YanJun Wang  BuDa Su  JinLong Huang  Hui Tao 《寒旱区科学》2020,12(6):389-403

Climate condition over a region is mostly determined by the changes in precipitation, temperature and evaporation as the key climate variables. The countries belong to the Belt and Road region are subjected to face strong changes in future climate. In this paper, we used five global climate models from the latest Sixth Phase of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) to evaluate future climate changes under seven combined scenarios of the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways and the Representative Concentration Pathways (SSP1-1.9, SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, SSP3-7.0, SSP4-3.4, SSP4-6.0 and SSP5-8.5) across the Belt and Road region. This study focuses on undertaking a climate change assessment in terms of future changes in precipitation, air temperature and actual evaporation for the three distinct periods as near-term period (2021-2040), mid-term period (2041-2060) and long-term period (2081-2100). To discern spatial structure, K?ppen-Geiger Climate Classification method has been used in this study. In relative terms, the results indicate an evidence of increasing tendency in all the studied variables, where significant changes are anticipated mostly in the long-term period. In addition to, though it is projected to increase under all the SSP-RCP scenarios, greater increases will be happened under higher emission scenarios (SSP5-8.5 and SSP3-7.0). For temperature, robust increases in annual mean temperature is found to be 5.2 °C under SSP3-7.0, and highest 7.0 °C under SSP5-8.5 scenario relative to present day. The northern part especially Cold and Polar region will be even more warmer (+6.1 °C) in the long-term (2081-2100) period under SSP5-8.5. Similarly, at the end of the twenty-first century, annual mean precipitation is inclined to increase largely with a rate of 2.1% and 2.8% per decade under SSP3-7.0 and SSP5-8.5 respectively. Spatial distribution demonstrates that the largest precipitation increases are to be pronounced in the Polar and Arid regions. Precipitation is projected to increase with response to increasing warming most of the regions. Finally, the actual evaporation is projected to increase significantly with rate of 20.3% under SSP3-7.0 and greatest 27.0% for SSP5-8.5 by the end of the century. It is important to note that the changes in evaporation respond to global mean temperature rise consistently in terms of similar spatial pattern for all the scenarios where stronger increase found in the Cold and Polar regions. The increase in precipitation is overruled by enhanced evaporation over the region. However, this study reveals that the CMIP6 models can simulate temperature better than precipitation over the Belt and Road region. Findings of this study could be the reliable basis for initiating policies against further climate induced impacts in the regional scale.  相似文献   

面向目标自适应有限元法的带地形三维大地电磁各向异性正演模拟          下载免费PDF全文

曹晓月  殷长春  张博  黄鑫  刘云鹤  蔡晶 《地球物理学报》2018,61(6):2618-2628

传统三维大地电磁各向异性模拟均是基于规则六面体网格，计算精度有限且较难拟合复杂地质条件.本文采用面向目标自适应非结构矢量有限元法，对三维大地电磁各向异性介质进行模拟.首先从电场双旋度方程出发，利用伽辽金方法建立变分方程；然后利用电流密度连续性条件构建适合大地电磁各向异性问题的加权后验误差估计方法，实现面向目标的网格自适应正演；最后通过典型算例分析各向异性对网格自适应和大地电磁响应的影响特征以及各向异性的识别方法.本文算法能够高精度地拟合起伏地表和任意各向异性介质，适用于分析复杂地电条件大地电磁响应特征，为提高大地电磁资料解释水平提供了理论基础.  相似文献   

Spatial and temporal patterns of stable water isotopes along the Yangtze River during two drought years          下载免费PDF全文

Huawu Wu  Jing Li  Fan Song  Yanan Zhang  Haixia Zhang  Cicheng Zhang  Bin He 《水文研究》2018,32(1):4-16

Changes in the level of the Yangtze River caused by anthropogenic water regulation have major effects on the hydrological processes and water cycle in surrounding lakes and rivers. In this study, we obtained isotopic evidence of changes in the water cycle of Yangtze River during the two drought years of 2006 and 2013. Isotopic evidence demonstrated that the δ¹⁸O and δD levels in Yangtze River exhibited high spatial heterogeneity from the upper to lower reaches, which were controlled by atmospheric precipitation, tributary/lake water mixing, damming regulation, and water temperature. Both the slope and intercept of Yangtze River evaporative line (δD = 7.88 δ¹⁸O + 7.96) were slightly higher than those of local meteoric water line of Yangtze River catchment (δD = 7.41 δ¹⁸O + 6.01). Most of the river isotopic values were located below the local meteoric water line, thereby implying that the Yangtze River water experienced a certain degree of evaporative enrichment on isotopic compositions of river water. The high fluctuations in the isotopic composition (e.g., deuterium excess [d‐excess]) in the middle to lower reaches during the initial stage of operation for the Three Gorges Dams (2003–2006) were due to heterogeneous isotopic signatures from the upstream water. In contrast to the normal stage (after 2010) characterized by the maximum water level and largest water storage, a relatively small variability in the deuterium excess was found along the middle to lower reaches because of the homogenization of reservoir water with a longer residence time and complete mixing. The effects of water from lakes and tributaries on the isotopic compositions in mainstream water were highlighted because of the high contributions of lakes water (e.g., Dongting Lake and Poyang Lake) efflux to the Yangtze River mainstream, which ranged from 21% to 85% during 2006 and 2013. These findings suggest that the retention and regulation of the Three Gorges Dams has greatly buffered the isotopic variability of the water cycle in the Yangtze catchment, thereby improving our understanding of the complex lake–river interactions along the middle to lower reaches in the future.  相似文献   

The NE Directed Seismicity Belt in Tibet after the MS8.1 Nepal Earthquake and Its Predictive Significance     

Wang Shuangxu  Zhu Liangyu  Xu Jing  Ji Lingyun  Jiang Fengyun 《中国地震研究》2018,32(1):119-129

After the 2015 M_S8.1 Nepal earthquake, a strong and moderate seismicity belt has formed in Tibet gradually spreading along the northeast direction. In this paper, we attempt to summarize the features and investigate the primary mechanism of this behavior of seismic activity, using a 2-D finite element numerical model with tectonic dynamic settings and GPS horizontal displacements as the constraints. In addition, compared with the NE-trending seismicity belt triggered by the 1996 Xiatongmoin earthquake, we discuss the future earthquake hazard in and around Tibet. Our results show that:the NE-directed seismicity belt is the response of enhanced loading on the anisotropic Qinghai-Tibetan plateau from the Indian plate and earthquake thrusting. Also, this possibly implies that a forthcoming strong earthquake may fill in the gaps in the NE-directed seismicity belt or enhance the seismic hazard in the eastern (the north-south seismic zone) and western (Tianshan tectonic region) parts near the NE-directed belt.  相似文献